foreign policy community views Russia as a hostile actor, and this view is likely to prevail for the foreseeable future. Mutual accommodation, therefore, will be difficult. Domestic politics in both countries will also be a factor. Over the next decade, the accumulated grievances on both sides and profound differences in interests, values, and conceptions of global order will all but rule out any notions of a sustainable partnership, a reset, or a significant improvement in ties. A Technologically Transformed World: Breakthroughs in various technologies (such as artificial intelligence, 5G networks, renewables, and vaccines for new coronaviruses) are bound to widen America’s competitive advantage over Russia.If left unregulated, these capabilities will increase the risk of an accident or miscalculation that could precipitate armed conflict. A Strategically Unstable World: The United States and Russia are developing weapons that are not constrained by existing arms control frameworks or subject to any rules or limitations.A More Conflict-Prone World: The number and intensity of conflicts in and around the Eurasian continent will likely grow, and many of these could generate new dangers for Moscow as well as the United States.A Proliferated World: The spread of new, lethal, and potentially destabilizing military technologies will further strain the global nonproliferation regimes, especially in the absence of new multilateral measures that strengthen the norms and institutions that limit the spread of weapons of mass destruction.Eurasia will remain the strategic center of gravity in the world. At the same time, a number of significant state and nonstate actors will continue to exercise considerable influence in regional and global affairs. A Bipolar+ World: The United States and China will remain the biggest actors on the world stage, even if their ability and will to act globally over the next several years is significantly diminished as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, competing domestic demands on resources, and preoccupation with internal matters.and Russian leaders in 2030 will face a global landscape whose key features will include the following:
What is the agenda that they will need to tackle then-perhaps as far in the future as 2030? A Changing International Landscape and Russian leaders could pursue less confrontational policies. However, this situation is unlikely to last forever-even during the Cold War, the United States and the Soviet Union maintained a limited but meaningful dialogue the two countries eventually will reengage, even if mostly to disagree, and new U.S. There are no signs that the relationship will improve in the near future. Almost all high-level dialogue between the two countries has been suspended.
U.S.-Russian relations are at the lowest point since the Cold War. It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.
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